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Will China's New Five-Year Plan Force U.S. Utilities to Ration Your Electricity?

According to China's Ministry of LandApril, Gene Clark, CEO of TradeTech LLC
Resources, China plans to build upwarned us, "In reality, the U.S. utilities,
"sufficient reserves" of uranium and otherwhich tend to wait longer to contract, may be
minerals, in a new five-year government plan.the ones on the losing end because the
The ministry said it would be stockpilingChinese and the Indians will contract early.
strategic reserves of uranium, copper,The implication of current group-think is
aluminum and other key minerals because ofthat the Chinese and Indians are not going to
rising demand for those commodities. Thebe able to find enough uranium for their new
Chinese also wish to avoid supply disruptionsplants. But, they are committing for supplies
by hoarding uranium and other minerals, overway out into the future. When the U.S.
the  next  few  years.utilities come to the market, they're going
to look around say, 'Oh blankety- blank, what
Until now, you've probably taken for grantedhappened? Where's the uranium?' They'll be
a steady, reliable source of electricity. Athe ones that sat around. I think that is
large part of your dependable energy camewhat's going to happen unless things really
about because of the nuclear energy generatedchange in the way contracting is done in the
by the 103 nuclear reactors in 30 states.United  States."
Without a steady supply of uranium to power
those nuclear reactors, the U.S. electricalU.S. utilities have been cautioned, warned
transmission network suffers a 20 percentand advised that the Chinese demand for
loss. China's new five-year plan to stockpileuranium could very well create a serious
uranium had better be a Wake-Up Call to U.S.energy crisis for the U.S. grid. Nuclear
utilities. If they missed the import ofreactors help supply the baseload generation
China's announcement, we are all going to befor the U.S. electrical grid. Nuclear power
in a heck of lot of trouble before thisplants provide stability to the electricity
decade  ends.transmission network. About one-fifth of
electrical generation is derived from nuclear
Since June 2004, we have warned of supplypower. Nuclear plants are running at more
disruptions for uranium. David Miller, whothan 89 percent capacity. U.S. utilities are
has since become President and Chieffiddling around like Nero, who watched Rome
Operating Officer of Strathmore Minerals,burn, hoping that promises of increased
argued at the time, "In my opinion, no oneuranium production will stem the dramatic
has any extra uranium to sell on the spoturanium  price  rise.
market. There's just not excess inventory
that people are unloading in the spotSevere strains in natural gas supplies,
market." We interviewed Miller again incombined with the ongoing uranium supply
November 2005, for an article entitled,squeeze, could very well put U.S. consumers
"China Demand for Uranium, World Growth inon rations for their electricity. Can't
Electricity Demand to Drive Uranium Pricehappen, you say? Ask the Brits about how
Higher." Miller warned us, "China is thebusiness was conducted in their country, in
future wild card... what they are planninglate 1973 and early 1974, during the Arab oil
for nuclear is probably the most aggressiveembargo crisis. Or more recently,
program in the world." Miller added in hisCalifornia's  rolling  brownouts.
explanation, "All the new production is
already factored into the future market forAn electrical energy crisis is in the making,
uranium. We're underwater right now withoutwhile U.S. utilities are patiently hoping or
building  one  more  nuclear  power  plant."praying the price of uranium stop climbing.
UxC President Jeff Combs wasn't kidding when
In mid April, during an interview with Sprotthe urged U.S. utilities, during our
Asset Management Market Strategist Kevininterview, to "support the expansion of
Bambrough, we asked him about the Chinese. He(uranium) production in the United States."
answered, "Why shouldn't they have strategicAnd if you don't let your local utility know
uranium reserves to supply their nuclearabout the upcoming electrical energy crisis,
reactors? It makes sense to have a goodthen perhaps it will be your lights they may
stockpile of uranium considering the relativesomeday be turning out. The irony of ironies:
cost of nuclear power versus anything else."All of those sweet anti-nuclear folks in
And now, the Chinese plan to build up aVermont, who depend upon nuclear energy for
strategic reserve of uranium for theirmore than 70 percent of their electricity?
aggressive  nuclear  program.They'll be the first to suffer the most, if
U.S. utilities don't respond to China's
In another interview, also published infive-year plan.



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