Will China's New Five-Year Plan Force U.S. Utilities to Ration Your Electricity?

According to China's Ministry of Land Resources,CEO of TradeTech LLC warned us, "In reality, the U.S.
China plans to build up "sufficient reserves" of uraniumutilities, which tend to wait longer to contract, may be
and other minerals, in a new five-year governmentthe ones on the losing end because the Chinese and
plan. The ministry said it would be stockpiling strategicthe Indians will contract early. The implication of current
reserves of uranium, copper, aluminum and other keygroup-think is that the Chinese and Indians are not
minerals because of rising demand for thosegoing to be able to find enough uranium for their new
commodities. The Chinese also wish to avoid supplyplants. But, they are committing for supplies way out
disruptions by hoarding uranium and other minerals,into the future. When the U.S. utilities come to the
over the next few years.market, they're going to look around say, 'Oh blankety-
Until now, you've probably taken for granted a steady,blank, what happened? Where's the uranium?' They'll
reliable source of electricity. A large part of yourbe the ones that sat around. I think that is what's going
dependable energy came about because of theto happen unless things really change in the way
nuclear energy generated by the 103 nuclear reactorscontracting is done in the United States."
in 30 states. Without a steady supply of uranium toU.S. utilities have been cautioned, warned and advised
power those nuclear reactors, the U.S. electricalthat the Chinese demand for uranium could very well
transmission network suffers a 20 percent loss.create a serious energy crisis for the U.S. grid. Nuclear
China's new five-year plan to stockpile uranium hadreactors help supply the baseload generation for the
better be a Wake-Up Call to U.S. utilities. If they missedU.S. electrical grid. Nuclear power plants provide stability
the import of China's announcement, we are all goingto the electricity transmission network. About one-fifth
to be in a heck of lot of trouble before this decadeof electrical generation is derived from nuclear power.
ends.Nuclear plants are running at more than 89 percent
Since June 2004, we have warned of supplycapacity. U.S. utilities are fiddling around like Nero, who
disruptions for uranium. David Miller, who has sincewatched Rome burn, hoping that promises of
become President and Chief Operating Officer ofincreased uranium production will stem the dramatic
Strathmore Minerals, argued at the time, "In my opinion,uranium price rise.
no one has any extra uranium to sell on the spotSevere strains in natural gas supplies, combined with
market. There's just not excess inventory that peoplethe ongoing uranium supply squeeze, could very well
are unloading in the spot market." We interviewed Millerput U.S. consumers on rations for their electricity. Can't
again in November 2005, for an article entitled, "Chinahappen, you say? Ask the Brits about how business
Demand for Uranium, World Growth in Electricitywas conducted in their country, in late 1973 and early
Demand to Drive Uranium Price Higher." Miller warned1974, during the Arab oil embargo crisis. Or more
us, "China is the future wild card... what they arerecently, California's rolling brownouts.
planning for nuclear is probably the most aggressiveAn electrical energy crisis is in the making, while U.S.
program in the world." Miller added in his explanation,utilities are patiently hoping or praying the price of
"All the new production is already factored into theuranium stop climbing. UxC President Jeff Combs
future market for uranium. We're underwater right nowwasn't kidding when he urged U.S. utilities, during our
without building one more nuclear power plant."interview, to "support the expansion of (uranium)
In mid April, during an interview with Sprott Assetproduction in the United States." And if you don't let
Management Market Strategist Kevin Bambrough, weyour local utility know about the upcoming electrical
asked him about the Chinese. He answered, "Whyenergy crisis, then perhaps it will be your lights they
shouldn't they have strategic uranium reserves tomay someday be turning out. The irony of ironies: All
supply their nuclear reactors? It makes sense to haveof those sweet anti-nuclear folks in Vermont, who
a good stockpile of uranium considering the relativedepend upon nuclear energy for more than 70 percent
cost of nuclear power versus anything else." And now,of their electricity? They'll be the first to suffer the
the Chinese plan to build up a strategic reserve ofmost, if U.S. utilities don't respond to China's five-year
uranium for their aggressive nuclear program.plan.
In another interview, also published in April, Gene Clark,