The advantages of using alternative energies


Chevron: Will the Drop in the Price of Oil Hurt Earnings?

As Chevron (CVX) will report earnings thiswith a miss in terms of expectations for this
week, you may be wondering if it will becompany and immediate falling numbers. Thus
beneficial to purchase shares of this companyif such a trend continues, it should be no
in attempt of earning higher capital gains.surprise this Friday when Chevron posts the
You may also be wondering why I am endorsingbottom line number way above most everyone's
the purchase of this equity at a time whenexpectations.As you read that last paragraph,
oil prices are at its lowest point for thisyou may say to yourself about the effects
year. While such is a valid claim, there is acurrently happening now will bring to the
more profound reason to the success thatnext quarter results for Chevron. While such
Chevron will post this week which willis a valid concern, think about the upcoming
surprise many investors throughout Wallmonths. Many predictions have indicated that
Street.Since the stock market naturally is aa milder than normal winter would be
rational expectations market, the informationapproaching. However, with snow reaching
consumed by investors stays recent andplaces about a month or two earlier than
continuously changes on a day to day basis.normal coupled with the fact the OPEC will
Many of these investors are always trying tocontinue to cut inventory, do not expect a
look in foresight to how equities couldsignificant further decrease in the price of
potentially react to certain changes in theoil anytime soon. As prices have reach their
economy. While such is typically anmore than likely lowest point, the only way
insightful proposal, in the case of Chevron,they can move now is up, and more than likely
many of these investors should have a clearthey will be up in a matter of weeks which
sense of hindsight before making hastyshould have a positive effect on oil
predictions. When looking at Chevron, itscompanies such as Chevron. As I say this, you
previous operational results were reported amay be thinking that I am contradicting
few months ago in late July. However, themyself as I am looking into foresight instead
actual 2nd quarter finished June 30th whichof examining what has been put in front of
surprisingly should have more implicationsme. However, the reasoning here is that
than usually thought of.Through that oneprices have reached their lowest point of the
month period between the quarter's end andyear and won't decrease any further. However,
the results posted by Chevron, the oil marketunlike the previous quarter's situation where
went through unprecedented territory reachingprices went from incredibly high to
record highs of almost 80 dollars per barrel.incredibly low, I believe this quarter there
While of course in the recent months oil haswill be a much smaller margin of difference
fallen dramatically by 25%, such anbetween high and low prices this upcoming
incredible value should remain in investorsquarter which should position analyst
mind when thinking of purchasing the stock.earnings to be a better representation of how
The reason I say this can relate back to myChevron will perform. If such analysis is
premise of how the rational expectationsstill to risky to believe, just think of the
market of the stock market may fool somefact that it is inevitable, with shrinking
individuals who impatiently focus completelysupplies, that oil prices will increase in
on future news. Such sentiments sometimesthe future complimented with the fact that
have negative implications as for the 3rdChevron is a respectable name which has grown
quarter many Wall Street analysts haveat a steady but encouraging rate since its
predicted an EPS estimate of 2.02 for thisIPO days.Thus, with the obvious spectacular
oil giant. While such a number may soundfundamentals coupled with such EPS analysis,
normal or foreign relative to what it shouldlook for shares of Chevron to produce some
be, I believe such a number is greatlypositive and surprising feedback from Wall
undervalued because of the foresight ofStreet this week. As in most cases,
impatient analysts. Using supportive materialpredicting the future and examining the
of only recent weeks in terms of how the oilpresent is what will bring success. In the
market has performed, more than likelycase of Chevron, having a clear
analysts worried over such a drop and failedrepresentation of hindsight should reap more
to notice the record highs just three monthsbenefits than both the present and future
ago and undervalue this estimate. The samecombined.Dennis Biray presents advice on all
can be said three months prior when analystskinds of topics ranging from finance and
overvalued the EPS estimate of Chevroninvesting to fitness to sports.
because of the recent events which coupled



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